Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.301227 15.561548 18.029073 20.914905 24.189076 27.779974 32.007534
2025-03-30 9.998265 13.208501 17.077747 22.043863 28.203456 35.544239 44.901441
2025-04-06 7.440271 10.876000 15.366749 21.573753 29.823414 40.292829 54.445959
2025-04-13 5.555088 8.891287 13.575546 20.477448 30.201942 43.201944 61.636509
2025-04-20 4.823017 8.315873 13.512723 21.568738 33.447990 49.975470 74.275814
2025-04-27 4.327673 7.974410 13.685056 22.936838 37.121552 57.533924 88.467897
2025-05-04 3.737969 7.356775 13.315319 23.389233 39.419309 63.232841 100.354681
2025-05-11 3.161783 6.644955 12.671007 23.290076 40.801046 67.611719 110.530160
2025-05-18 2.640610 5.926658 11.897122 22.852738 41.550896 71.016106 119.383985
2025-05-25 2.216114 5.305852 11.193470 22.424609 42.228147 74.290436 128.166616
2025-06-01 1.862246 4.754052 10.528407 21.965831 42.773150 77.336474 136.709034
2025-06-08 1.493906 4.091218 9.546823 20.795836 41.946513 78.035895 141.463484
2025-06-15 1.353769 3.934487 9.589796 21.644150 44.928334 85.531609 158.217318
2025-06-22 1.231506 3.800023 9.671388 22.602501 48.246275 93.916319 177.133185
2025-06-29 1.016084 3.377046 9.060696 22.084098 48.738028 97.410100 187.970357
2025-07-06 0.801444 2.892452 8.219525 20.958527 47.921254 98.475665 194.621946
2025-07-13 0.746755 2.847917 8.405105 22.070349 51.628744 107.997538 216.710048
2025-07-20 0.710517 2.850080 8.704295 23.465349 56.018675 119.039120 242.088038
2025-07-27 0.634002 2.703795 8.602753 23.926621 58.502629 126.629425 261.577658
2025-08-03 0.544917 2.488135 8.280813 23.825499 59.776974 131.967248 277.180252
2025-08-10 0.457079 2.246533 7.842025 23.379521 60.251455 135.754209 290.053058
2025-08-17 0.383289 2.029875 7.430747 22.942913 60.694328 139.483801 302.982441
2025-08-24 0.320198 1.830567 7.029813 22.475024 61.012615 142.961600 315.579535